Polls, Predictions, and (im)Perfect seasons
With remarkable restraint, the Switchblog has gone an entire week without mentioning the Super Bowl victory won by The Juggernaut That Is The New York Football Giants (TJTITNYFG). Some of us enjoy viewing professional sports. Some of us have lifelong loyalties to the almost endlessly frustrating New York Giants and Mets. For some of us, last Sunday's upset by the G-men of the highly-touted, nearly-perfect New England Patriots was a time for riotous exultation.
And gloating. The gloating was nice. Oh, yes.
It was a huge surprise, the sort that pundits got nearly as wrong as, oh I don't know, the political demise of Senator McCain or the cake-walking inevitability of Senator Clinton's nomination. Pundits, sporting or political, can only predict. Players and and voters get to decide.
But predicting becomes part of the game in, well, unpredictable ways: how many New Hampshirites voted for Senator Clinton simply to spite the outside pollsters who declared Senator Obama the presumptive nominee after Iowa?
When the Giants' magnificently named Plaxico Burress announced four days before the game that the Giants would win 23-17, his comments were viewed as needlessly provocative. But when the simply magnificent Michael Strahan prowled the sidelines with the Giants trailing 14-10 in the game's final minutes and predicted that the Giants would win 17-14, his faith in his teammates was infectious. "Just believe in it," he shouted to the offensive linemen during a timeout, " and it will happen!" Infectious - and maybe efficacious. For so it was.
But belief and prayer didn't make it so. As readers of Stephen Colbert's I Am America And So Can You are aware, God makes a Guest appearance and explains that when fans of both teams in a game call upon Him to grant victory, He often has no choice but... to let the better team win. In extreme cases, the Almighty explains, He has to go back in time and make sure one team practices more than the other.
Did predicting victory tip the balance for TJTITNYFG? Will my flat prediction of a New York Mets victory in this October's World Series do the trick? Did the Almighty grant Obama a little time-warping help to make up for Senator Clinton's self-proclaimed 35 years of experience, and open his path to the Presidency? I ain't sayin'.

